The Superiority and Lead of The Labor Party in UK. (Ishraq Ahmed Hashmi)

Britain's ruling Conservative Party and opposition Labor Party are ramping up their campaign for the July 4 national election to focus on the economy. Prime Minister Rishi Sonak has said that "brighter days" are ahead when figures show Britain's inflation rate has edged closer to 2 per cent. Labour's Rachel Reeves, who hopes to succeed her as finance minister, said voters were under financial pressure. Media reports provided a summary of the economic policies of both parties so far, most of them from opposition leader Keir Starmer. After moving Labor into the political center field, it looks the same. Some polls have predicted a huge lead for Labor over the Conservatives, but according to The Guardian, a Conservative poll expert says that Labor's lead over the Conservatives is being overstated. Is.

Robert Hayward's opinion that the Conservative Party is gaining support from undecided voters His analysis shows that the Conservatives are getting more support from voters who say they are undecided than they appear to be. are He said on the basis of his 33 years of experience that I am once again convinced that there is statistical bias in elections. Pre-election polling has shown a commanding lead of more than 20 points for Labor in some surveys, such as Yougov, while others, such as Opinion, show a gap of around 14. Some constituency-level polling by YouGov suggests that the Conservatives are on the brink of elimination. Its April estimates point to more than 400 of the 650 seats going to Labour, but most pundits, MPs and political strategists of all parties agree that Labor is almost certain to win. The size of his lead will determine his majority in Parliament. Hayward has also acknowledged that Labor still has a clear lead over the Conservatives but is concerned that polls are "going wrong because so many voters are still undecided. Agreed that polling could have methodological or structural flaws.

That said, I think there are many reasons to be concerned about polling error. There are serious data quality issues across the industry, where It is becoming increasingly difficult to ensure that the people taking part in surveys are genuine, take the survey seriously and are representative of the wider population. Pollsters are working harder to combat this Another problem is undecided voters. There are three times more people who voted Conservative than who voted Labour and are undecided and pollsters make different assumptions about where these voters will go. The bottom line, he added, is that polls become less accurate with many changes in polls. In 1997 the polls were wildly wrong but it didn't matter the result was very decisive: When there is more voter movement between parties, polls become more chaotic and less accurate. Anthony Wells, head of European political and social research at YouGo, said the gap between each company's polls was likely to narrow as polling day approached, adding that there were still plenty of people who voted for the Tories in 2019. I polled.

When asked how they would vote, the response was ``don't know''. or predict how people will vote on Election Day, while others simply report what people are currently saying. It is as much a philosophical decision as anything else, whether we are measuring how people say they will vote or predicting how we think they will vote. will However, it is reasonable to expect that the gap between voters will narrow by July 4 as the number of people who say ``don't know'' decreases. But to what extent, if at all, those voters will return to the Tory party, it is difficult to predict what the nature of wins and losses will be on the morning of July 5. I also may not be able to decide until polling day. Floating voters tend to scrutinize party policies during the campaign.

It is difficult for small/major parties to form a final opinion on such voters and may affect the margin of victory for certain political parties. According to pundits, the Liberal Party is also in a position to double its seats in this election.Also, floating voters may not make up their minds until polling day, and they scrutinize party policies with interest during the campaign. According to the Liberal Party is also in a position to double its seats in this election.Also, floating voters may not make up their minds until polling day, and they scrutinize party policies with interest during the campaign. According to the Liberal Party is also in a position to double its seats in this election.